The Marginal Cost of Children

In 1750, the British Parliament passed the Iron Act which encouraged the production of pig iron and iron bar in the colonies by removing the import duties to Britain. They sought to undercut the expensive importation of raw iron materials from foreign sources [Sweden, Russia]. Iron ore from mining contains various oxides of iron. The reduction of iron ore (removal of the oxygen) requires high temperatures and carbon which in turn required wood to make charcoal. The colonies had wood in abundance. [Coal did not replace wood as the heat and carbon source until later in 1700s]

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A Quiet Thing

foxsquirrel

This September, the weather here has been hot, humid, sultry. A few days ago, I spied a young boy stepping down from a yellow school bus with a dark black mask hung rudely on his face at a haughty angle so that he could talk to his friends. And I wondered if he knew or cared about the danger of the thing as his hands kept adjusting its surface about his nose.

Through the Board of Education, his school now requires such a cloth mask so as to meet the dictates of the state and local health officials. Perhaps if they knew of other means of limiting infection, they would rescind such an order. Perhaps.

So quietly, rather than the challenge of public exhortation at meetings, I sent a letter to the Chairman of the Board of Education and her erstwhile opposition imploring them to consider alternatives while documenting the harm that cloth masks can cause. No answer yet..

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The Forgotten Man

By William Graham Sumner

I propose in this lecture to discuss one of the most subtile and widespread social fallacies. It consists in the impression made on the mind for the time being by a particular fact, or by the interests of a particular group of persons, to which attention is directed while other facts or the interests of other persons are entirely left out of account. I shall give a number of instances and illustrations of this in a moment, and I cannot expect you to understand what is meant from an abstract statement until these illustrations are before you, but just by way of a general illustration I will put one or two cases. Continue reading

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A House Divided


With the election of 2020 finished, the division of our country into two tribes is complete. One way to observe this transition is to inspect the voting patterns of local districts with the party votes separated. In particular, consider the voting patterns in North Carolina.
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Science as Falsification

by Karl R. Popper (Excerpted from Conjectures and Refutations)

When I received the list of participants in this course and realized that I had been asked to speak to philosophical colleagues I thought, after some hesitation and consultation, that you would probably prefer me to speak about those problems which interests me most, and about those developments with which I am most intimately acquainted. I therefore decided to do what I have never done before: to give you a report on my own work in the philosophy of science, since the autumn 1919 when I first begin to grapple with the problem, ‘When should a theory be ranked as scientific?’ or ‘Is there a criterion for the scientific character or status of a theory?Continue reading

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Haying

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Bald Eagle Alights In Kent

Picture credit: Bill Arnold

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Hunkered Down

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The Desert Storm

One aspect of the science of global warming is the measurement of ground temperature on a local basis. Stations for this purpose have been set worldwide on an irregular basis. Previously, two stations at some distance from each other were reported (Falls Village, Connecticut and Prince Albert, Saskatchewan, Canada). To make the coverage is more complete, let’s analyze a station further south in Carlsbad, Texas on the high plains. As global temperatures increase, the northern most sites should warm more quickly than sites nearer the equator, so the Carlsbad temperatures should vary less than the previous sites. This provides a reasonable measure of actual warming, as well as a test of the effect of latitude within the temperate region because of atmospheric motion.

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Still Not Gone

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